“The Polls”… every jackass has a poll right now.

Still, the closeness of the race bears repeating what has become something of a mantra here at 538 recently: A close race in the polls does not necessarily mean the outcome will be close. All seven swing states are still within a normal polling error of going to the candidate who is currently “losing”in each. While the polls have identified a close race, our model shows what you should expect if those polls are off.

Margin-of-error polling cannot tell us anything other than that it is too close to call. These headlines are just capitalising on the attention ahead of the actual election.

That’s not what that page is saying. It’s terrifying enough that it’s a tie, there’s no need to make up fake polling information.

Whatever libs are saying will happen under a trump presidency is not the fault of the voters who won’t vote democrat but the fault of the democrats for not giving voters anything to vote for.

Minor point: Harris is ahead in the poll aggregate; Trump is ahead in the forecast model.

Its coming down to a hail mary play.

Maybe if she did an Israel/ Gaza pivot, like tonight/ tomorrow AM, she could get enough back on the board to at least keep MI and WI and PA.

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