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  • ICBM@lemmygrad.ml
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    22 hours ago

    Simplicius has a good article out today about the conflict and puts forward an interesting counter-narrative to Israels claim about “total control of Iranian airspace”

    he fact that Israel appeared to primarily rely on UCAVS to strike Iranian military targets means the attrition of these vehicles would essentially neuter Israel’s offensive capabilities inside Iran. It would also potentially require risking real fighter aircraft to incur deeper into Iran and be shot down.

    Thus, Israel was slowly losing its capability to deal damage, and more importantly, rapidly losing its capability to reflect damage from Iranian ballistic missiles. Thus, a quick claim of “victory” was in order to wrap things up before the humiliation got too palpable for the general populace.

    Through the end of it, there remains not a single shred of proof that Israeli (or American, for that matter) planes ever significantly overflew Iran at any time. Claims of ‘total air superiority’ have no grounds, and up until the final day Israel continued relying on their heavy UCAVs to strike Iranian ground targets.

    The most significant proof is that Israel very enthusiastically released footage of their strikes—so how come not a single clip from that footage showed strikes from fighter-bomber jets? Every clip was from a UCAV, which is telling.

    Only one clip released yesterday showed what was claimed to be a jet at night flying over an Iranian city and conducting strikes, but upon research the city turned out to be Bander Abbas:

    We’re seeing reports, images and videos, coming in showing downed Israeli light and heavy drones from the conflict. But in all the video I’ve reviewed so far, I have not seen a single video of an Israeli fighter plane. I did see a lot of Iranian AD taking out waves of drones near cities, though. It comes as zero surprise that Israel’s claims of airspace control are bullshit, but it maybe there was actually very little manned aircraft penetration inside Iranian airspace.

    It’s pretty interesting that Shitraels main strength being its airforce, might have performed so very poorly against a peer (or superior, really). If Israel is now reliant on drone warfare, and Iran is aligned with Russian and China, I’d say the “drone war” is already lost for Shitrael. As I’m writing this, Iran is out shopping

    The rhetoric Israel is engaging in right now is some real fucking cope; a real red-shirt, brown pants moment. The shocking cost of Israel’s military adventurism is beginning to compound with what Israeli’s are calling a ‘shaky economy’ and the massive political corruption. It’s not looking optimistic.

    Haifa is still on fire and the Knesset is howling for war again. The media can hide the destruction from the world, to some extent, but not from the colonists. Meanwhile the IOF provocations continue in Iran with spy drones invading Iranian airspace, despite very strong repeated warnings. It feels like things could get hot again at any moment and “punishment” will resume. Just the presence of these aggressions is fucking up the material stability for the zionazis, and there are some hard limits on how much ideological fluff can cover that up.

    • This lines up far more with the reporting I saw about the conflict from none western sources. The area where Iran did not have full control over its airspace, but they certanly had more control over it than anyone else.

      It also with the spy planes looks like Israel wants a war agian, but got burned by being the agressor, and so now they are trying to bait Iran into striking in a matter where they have more plausable deniability

    • rainpizza@lemmygrad.ml
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      22 hours ago

      We’re seeing reports, images and videos, coming in showing downed Israeli light and heavy drones from the conflict. But in all the video I’ve reviewed so far, I have not seen a single video of an Israeli fighter plane. I did see a lot of Iranian AD taking out waves of drones near cities, though. It comes as zero surprise that Israel’s claims of airspace control are bullshit, but it maybe there was actually very little manned aircraft penetration inside Iranian airspace.

      Very true. The only footage of Israeli fighter plane that I have found is this one below. That was shared by Middle East Spectator but it is crazy that there no more footage. If there was footage readily available, it will be an incredible victory for Iranian promotional media.

      As for the rest of the analysis, it is excellent! Thanks for sharing!