• ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml
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    9 months ago

    In full seriousness, beyond posturing and making an ideological statement, how will the Houthi Movement enforce this blockade in any way? They have no navy, no modern anti-ship missiles, no naval Air Force, or any meaningful way to affect shipping in the Red Sea without getting wiped off the face of the Earth by UN anti-piracy naval and air forces in stationed in Djibouti.

      • ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml
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        9 months ago

        With what? They have no naval military craft at all, zero. The most they have is drones, though they have been noted to be useful only with harassment engagements.

        Also they absolutely do not have free reign over the Arabian and Red seas. That is one of the most high defended areas in the world, with anti piracy operations from UN nations constantly patrolling, destroying, and capturing pirates and smugglers. The Chinese, Americans, Russians, French, and British all have their own naval base and airfield in Djibouti for the express purpose of supporting those operations. Plus air and naval assets from dozens of UN countries.

        Bab el Mandab??? You’re kidding right? I’m sure trying to capture or destroy a ship 25 meters away from the combined naval and air assets of nearly 45 countries is going to go well.

          • ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml
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            9 months ago

            That’s just an intricate way of saying, “I have no clue, but trust me”.

            We can only hope, but I am not to optimistic about their chances at all.

              • ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml
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                7 months ago

                What was my view? That I can’t tell the future? I was just wary of almost looking like a Ukraine lib and making insane claims about what Ansar Allah could accomplish.

                I’ve been very happy and surprised with the progress that Ansar Allah have made though! I’m a lot more optimistic about their long-term prospects now! It’s still very early though, but at least their efforts are making strides!

        • davel@lemmygrad.ml
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          9 months ago

          There are publicly available databases on ships with pretty detailed information, including their travels. For a fee there are services that provide cargo information as well.

            • redtea@lemmygrad.ml
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              9 months ago

              I imagine a certain amount had to be public so the west knows who’s ducking sanctions and can prevent import tax evasion, etc.

              Edit: meaning it’s catch 22. Hide the manifest and not be able to dock anywhere. Or makeb it public and let your enemies know what you’re carrying.

              Also, it might be the export countries who log the data to show everyone that they’re being honest?