Syria most notably and maybe Gaza and Iran, with the former being a genocide against Gazans that Hamas seems incapable of stopping, though there is a growing movement against volunteership and the draft in Israel right now, which may help a year or two from then, but do they even have that much time?

Iran closed the strait of Hormuz but got a recent high-stakes meeting bombed.

The Russian Federation doesn’t want to give their advanced ballistic missile systems to Iran, or seems reluctant to do so, to remain in good standing with Israel and maybe Turkey and the Gulf States, hoping to court them.

I don’t even know just how well they’re doing in Ukraine; there was that “drone attack” by Ukraine that was launched into Russia, perhaps all across it, at military facilities, but I don’t know. I was told that they’re gaining 10 miles a day, I think? But I don’t know where those miles or square miles are as Ukraine is still a big country with NATO behind its back.

I don’t doubt that many geopolitical powers are arising and increasing bourgeois infighting, like between Musk and Trump, may result in, well, interesting results. Indeed, it may be that Saudi Arabia will one day turn against the West, but for now, it’s gaining its strength and gaining power over the Western imperialist system, them and their Wahhabi allies. If they smell blood in the water, Iran’s toast, at least maybe…

Don’t get me wrong, I see many positives nowadays… but also many negatives and things are in flux.

It could be like the 1980s where everyone thought the Soviet Union was “winning” until it didn’t (during the very late 80s, at least).

We’ll see what happens.

    • WhatWouldKarlDo@lemmygrad.mlEnglish
      14·
      2 days ago

      On the Ukraine front, Russia is definitely still winning. You can check the maps yourself for the high level. I’m not sure where these 10s of miles are that they advancing, but I don’t see it on a map of Ukraine.

      On the lower level, the Ukrainian armed forces appears to just barely be holding on. Most of their true believers are dead, and they are increasingly relying on people that they kidnapped. They are taking massive disproportionate casualties, and as we can clearly observe from NATO panic, Russia is winning in the materiel war as well. This is a war of attrition, and Russia is decisively winning. Hell, even the messaging from on high has changed from saying that Ukraine is winning to Ukraine can still win if NATO just sanctions a bit more and sends more guns. This is also not working, and NATO knows that they cannot keep up with even their existing pace forever.