• Sludgeyy@lemmy.world
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    12 days ago

    One vote in wyoming weighs more than one vote in California

    So you’re saying that a single voter in Wyoming voting for Candidate A means more than a single voter in California voting for Candidate A?

    In order for any of Wyoming votes to even matter, the two candidates would have to be at 268-267 and need Wyoming to be the tie breaker. It would have to come down as a perfect swing state.

    California’s 53 EV always matters. Harris had to win California to even have a chance at winning.

    Neither candidate had to win Wyoming to win

    Odds that California comes down to a 20m vs 20m tie or Wyoming coming down to a 250k vs 250k tie are basically the same.

    Even if Wyoming was tied like that and 1 voter could make a difference. It would still have to be 268-267 EVs to even matter

    • sour@feddit.org
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      12 days ago

      It’s possible to win the election with 22% of voters. Even if 78% vote against it. There’s a great CGP Grey Video on it.

      This is not a discussion about how likely it is to happen, but that the electoral college is unbalanced because NOT EVERY VOTE WEIGHS THE SAME.

      • Sludgeyy@lemmy.world
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        12 days ago

        This is not a discussion about how likely it is to happen, but that the electoral college is unbalanced because NOT EVERY VOTE WEIGHS THE SAME.

        If you had been reading my comments, you’d know I know the electoral college is unbalanced.

        It being unbalanced is the whole reason it exists

        To make sure the high populated states don’t always get what they want and give smaller populated states more voice

        This is not a discussion about how likely it is to happen, but that the electoral college is unbalanced because NOT EVERY VOTE WEIGHS THE SAME.

        This is a discussion about how likely one voter is to affect the election

        You are trying to make it not about that

        The question is, “Does someone voting in Wyoming have more “voting power” than someone in California?”

        It’s like if I wanted Candidate A to win. Would it be better if I lived in Wyoming or California?

        I’ve said before that someone in Wyoming has more EV per capita. “NOT EVERY VOTE WEIGHS THE SAME.”

        My point is one voter swinging Wyoming and then Wyoming swinging the EC, is never going to happen before one voter swings California and California’s EVs just mattering like they always do.

        Lower population does not automatically mean more “voting power”

        That Pennsylvania, 19 EC 13m Pop., has more “voting power” than both California and Wyoming

        Pennsylvania has 1/3 population of California. But 1/3 EC would be 17.5.

        A single voter in Pennsylvania has higher chances of being the deciding vote than in California, and Pennsylvania gets more EV per capita.

        19 EC is enough to realistically change the election. 3 EC is not.

        That’s why Pennsylvania is a “swing state” and Wyoming is not.